Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford

Team pages: Needham Market · Bishop's Stortford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Needham Market2.37

Bishop's Stortford1.18

1X2

63% 21% 17%

Needham Market Draw Bishop's Stortford

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Needham Market 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLDWW

Bishop's Stortford 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Needham Market 1–1 Bishop's Stortford (2 last)

Bishop's Stortford1-2Needham Market
Needham Market0-4Bishop's Stortford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Needham Market 1556 · Bishop's Stortford 1424

	Needham Market	Draw	Bishop's Stortford
Our model	63%	20%	17%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Needham Market (rating 1556 vs 1424).
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Needham Market	Bishop's Stortford
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.9	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/14/29%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	0.7 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.7	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.33

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:33 +5’	1.44	4.33	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Needham Market 1–0–1 Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	1-2	Needham Market
23/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	0-4 HT 0-2	Bishop's Stortford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	11	10	1	0	34	11	31
2	Bury Town	12	10	0	2	21	13	30
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	13	8	0	5	27	20	24
5	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
6	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
7	Needham Market	12	6	2	4	26	18	20
8	Kettering	11	5	4	2	18	9	19
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Halesowen	10	5	2	3	12	11	17
11	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
12	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
13	Racing Club Warwick	12	3	5	4	15	16	14
14	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
15	Stratford Town	12	2	5	5	12	20	11
16	Leamington	12	2	4	6	16	20	10
17	Bishop's Stortford	11	3	1	7	13	20	10
18	Banbury	12	2	4	6	15	23	10
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
20	Hitchin	12	1	4	7	8	19	7
21	Leighton Town	11	1	2	8	13	25	5
22	Stamford	12	0	1	11	3	32	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Needham Market	Bishop's Stortford
Leamington	2-1 W	3-1 W
Bury Town	5-0 W	1-2 L
Stamford	4-0 W	3-0 W
Halesowen	0-1 L	0-1 L
Alvechurch	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Needham Market (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Needham Market

LLWDWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-1	1	6	W
13/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	5-0	10	2	W
10/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
03/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-3	3-5	0	5	L
29/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
31/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	3-3	4	2	D
29/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L

Bishop's Stortford

LLLLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Needham Market win (63%). Probabilities: Needham Market 63%, draw 21%, Bishop's Stortford 17%.

How many goals are expected in Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Needham Market 2.37 · Bishop's Stortford 1.18), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.