Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Banbury vs Stamford

Team pages: Banbury · Stamford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Banbury1.86

Stamford0.81

1X2

62% 23% 16%

Banbury Draw Stamford

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Banbury 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLDLLDL

Stamford 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Banbury 2–2 Stamford (4 last)

Stamford4-0Banbury
Banbury2-0Stamford
Stamford2-0Banbury
Banbury1-0Stamford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banbury 1466 · Stamford 1366

	Banbury	Draw	Stamford
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banbury (rating 1466 vs 1366).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banbury	Stamford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	0.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.2	0.5 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +8’	1.42	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banbury 2–0–2 Stamford

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	4-0 HT 1-0	Banbury
29/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	2-0	Stamford
19/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	2-0	Banbury
07/09/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	1-0 HT 0-0	Stamford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29	10	27
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18	8	24
3	Bromsgrove	9	7	1	1	17	8	22
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17	4	20
5	Kettering	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
6	Rushall Olympic	10	6	0	4	21	17	18
7	Peterborough Sports	10	4	4	2	19	15	16
8	Anstey Nomads	9	4	3	2	16	13	15
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18	16	13
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8	8	12
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17	17	11
12	Redditch	9	2	4	3	12	13	10
13	Racing Club Warwick	10	2	4	4	11	14	10
14	Bishop's Stortford	9	3	1	5	10	13	10
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9	12	10
16	Leamington	9	2	3	4	12	14	9
17	Worcester City	9	1	4	4	7	12	7
18	Hitchin	10	1	4	5	7	16	7
19	Banbury	9	1	3	5	9	16	6
20	Stratford Town	9	1	3	5	9	18	6
21	Leighton Town	9	1	2	6	12	20	5
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1	25	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banbury	Stamford
Worcester City	0-0 D	0-1 L
Stourbridge	1-1 D	0-2 L
Rushall Olympic	2-3 L	0-3 L
Racing Club Warwick	2-1 W	1-2 L
Bishop's Stortford	0-0 D	0-3 L
Needham Market	2-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Banbury (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banbury

WDWLLDLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-3	0	2	L
22/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
31/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
11/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
08/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W

Stamford

DLLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-4	0-4	1	2	L
19/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-5	0	6	L
29/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
22/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
25/04	Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banbury vs Stamford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Banbury win (62%). Probabilities: Banbury 62%, draw 23%, Stamford 16%.

How many goals are expected in Banbury vs Stamford?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Banbury 1.86 · Stamford 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Banbury vs Stamford?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.