Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic

Team pages: Leighton Town · Rushall Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Leighton Town1.67

Rushall Olympic1.92

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Leighton Town Draw Rushall Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Leighton Town 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLLLLL

Rushall Olympic 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLWWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leighton Town 1419 · Rushall Olympic 1514

	Leighton Town	Draw	Rushall Olympic
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rushall Olympic (rating 1419 vs 1514).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leighton Town	Rushall Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/0/71%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.70

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +5’	2.75	3.70	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	11	9	0	2	19	13	27
3	Bromsgrove	11	8	2	1	20	10	26
4	Peterborough Sports	12	6	4	2	24	17	22
5	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
6	Rushall Olympic	12	7	0	5	24	20	21
7	Kettering	11	5	4	2	18	9	19
8	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
9	Needham Market	11	5	2	4	24	17	17
10	Stourbridge	11	4	4	3	14	14	16
11	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
12	Halesowen	9	4	2	3	10	10	14
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Leamington	11	2	4	5	15	18	10
16	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
17	Stratford Town	11	2	4	5	11	19	10
18	Banbury	11	2	3	6	14	22	9
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	11	0	1	10	3	28	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leighton Town	Rushall Olympic
Peterborough Sports	2-4 L	2-4 L
Halesowen	2-4 L	0-1 L
Anstey Nomads	0-2 L	2-3 L
Worcester City	2-1 W	1-0 W
Kettering	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rushall Olympic (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leighton Town

DDWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	2-4	4	4	L
29/09	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	9	0	L
12/09	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	2-3	4	5	L
29/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	8	2	L
22/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-1	6	0	W
11/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
08/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	3	1	D

Rushall Olympic

WWWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	4	3	L
10/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	3-1	5-3	6	5	W
29/09	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
22/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rushall Olympic win (43%). Probabilities: Leighton Town 33%, draw 24%, Rushall Olympic 43%.

How many goals are expected in Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Leighton Town 1.67 · Rushall Olympic 1.92), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.