Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick

Team pages: Bishop's Stortford · Racing Club Warwick

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Bishop's Stortford1.49

Racing Club Warwick1.36

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Bishop's Stortford Draw Racing Club Warwick

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bishop's Stortford 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Racing Club Warwick 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bishop's Stortford 1448 · Racing Club Warwick 1479

	Bishop's Stortford	Draw	Racing Club Warwick
Our model	39%	27%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bishop's Stortford	Racing Club Warwick
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.3	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +11’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30	11	28
2	Bury Town	11	9	0	2	19	13	27
3	Bromsgrove	11	8	2	1	20	10	26
4	Peterborough Sports	12	6	4	2	24	17	22
5	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
6	Rushall Olympic	12	7	0	5	24	20	21
7	Kettering	11	5	4	2	18	9	19
8	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
9	Needham Market	11	5	2	4	24	17	17
10	Stourbridge	11	4	4	3	14	14	16
11	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
12	Halesowen	9	4	2	3	10	10	14
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
15	Leamington	11	2	4	5	15	18	10
16	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11	16	10
17	Stratford Town	11	2	4	5	11	19	10
18	Banbury	11	2	3	6	14	22	9
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
20	Hitchin	11	1	4	6	7	17	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13	22	5
22	Stamford	11	0	1	10	3	28	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bishop's Stortford	Racing Club Warwick
Redditch	1-3 L	1-2 L
Stamford	3-0 W	2-1 W
Hitchin	2-0 W	1-1 D
Alvechurch	0-3 L	0-2 L
Leiston	1-3 L	0-0 D
Banbury	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
08/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D

Racing Club Warwick

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
03/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
21/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
12/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bishop's Stortford win (40%). Probabilities: Bishop's Stortford 40%, draw 26%, Racing Club Warwick 34%.

How many goals are expected in Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Bishop's Stortford 1.49 · Racing Club Warwick 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.