Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Hitchin vs Peterborough Sports
Team pages: Hitchin · Peterborough Sports
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Hitchin1.29
Peterborough Sports1.45
1X2
Hitchin
Draw
Peterborough Sports
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hitchin
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Peterborough Sports
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hitchin
1–2–3
Peterborough Sports
(6 last)
- Peterborough Sports1-0Hitchin
- Hitchin2-2Peterborough Sports
- Hitchin0-4Peterborough Sports
- Hitchin0-2Peterborough Sports
- Peterborough Sports0-4Hitchin
- Hitchin2-2Peterborough Sports
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hitchin 1466 · Peterborough Sports 1519
| Hitchin | Draw | Peterborough Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterborough Sports (rating 1466 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Peterborough Sports: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hitchin | Peterborough Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/17/67% | 67/0/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hitchin 1–2–3 Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Peterborough Sports | 1-0 | Hitchin |
| 12/03/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 2-2 | Peterborough Sports |
| 12/12/20 England FA Trophy | Hitchin | 0-4 | Peterborough Sports |
| 09/03/20 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Peterborough Sports |
| 21/01/20 England Southern Premier League Central | Peterborough Sports | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Hitchin |
| 14/09/15 England FA Cup Qualification | Hitchin | 2-2 | Peterborough Sports |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Redditch | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hitchin | Peterborough Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Stourbridge | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Kettering | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Racing Club Warwick | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Redditch | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Needham Market | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Rushall Olympic | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Peterborough Sports (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hitchin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 29/09 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 22/09 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/09 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/09 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hitchin vs Peterborough Sports?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterborough Sports win (41%). Probabilities: Hitchin 33%, draw 26%, Peterborough Sports 41%.
How many goals are expected in Hitchin vs Peterborough Sports?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Hitchin 1.29 · Peterborough Sports 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hitchin vs Peterborough Sports?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.