Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Kettering vs Halesowen
Team pages: Kettering · Halesowen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Kettering1.39
Halesowen0.93
1X2
Kettering
Draw
Halesowen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Kettering
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Halesowen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kettering
1–4–1
Halesowen
(6 last)
- Kettering0-0Halesowen
- Halesowen1-1Kettering
- Kettering0-0Halesowen
- Halesowen2-1Kettering
- Halesowen1-2Kettering
- Kettering2-2Halesowen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kettering 1561 · Halesowen 1531
| Kettering | Draw | Halesowen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kettering | Halesowen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.8 | 2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 6.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 1–4–1 Halesowen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Halesowen |
| 06/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 1-1 | Kettering |
| 25/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Halesowen |
| 10/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 2-1 | Kettering |
| 16/12/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 1-2 | Kettering |
| 19/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 2-2 | Halesowen |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Redditch | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kettering | Halesowen |
|---|---|---|
| Rushall Olympic | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Leighton Town | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Real Bedford | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Halesowen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kettering
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
4-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Halesowen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 29/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Halesowen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (48%). Probabilities: Kettering 48%, draw 27%, Halesowen 25%.
How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Halesowen?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Kettering 1.39 · Halesowen 0.93), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kettering vs Halesowen?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.