Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove

Team pages: Real Bedford · Bromsgrove

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Real Bedford1.94

Bromsgrove1.28

1X2

52% 24% 24%

Real Bedford Draw Bromsgrove

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Bedford 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Bromsgrove 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Real Bedford 2–0 Bromsgrove (2 last)

Bromsgrove1-3Real Bedford
Real Bedford2-0Bromsgrove

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Bedford 1615 · Bromsgrove 1568

	Real Bedford	Draw	Bromsgrove
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	52%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1615 vs 1568).
H2H favours Real Bedford: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Bedford	Bromsgrove
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	29/71/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.5	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +4’	1.73	3.80	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Bedford 2–0–0 Bromsgrove

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-3	Real Bedford
20/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Real Bedford	2-0 HT 1-0	Bromsgrove

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29	10	27
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18	8	24
3	Bromsgrove	9	7	1	1	17	8	22
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17	4	20
5	Kettering	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
6	Rushall Olympic	10	6	0	4	21	17	18
7	Peterborough Sports	10	4	4	2	19	15	16
8	Anstey Nomads	9	4	3	2	16	13	15
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18	16	13
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8	8	12
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17	17	11
12	Redditch	9	2	4	3	12	13	10
13	Racing Club Warwick	10	2	4	4	11	14	10
14	Bishop's Stortford	9	3	1	5	10	13	10
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9	12	10
16	Leamington	9	2	3	4	12	14	9
17	Worcester City	9	1	4	4	7	12	7
18	Hitchin	10	1	4	5	7	16	7
19	Banbury	9	1	3	5	9	16	6
20	Stratford Town	9	1	3	5	9	18	6
21	Leighton Town	9	1	2	6	12	20	5
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1	25	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Bedford	Bromsgrove
Redditch	2-1 W	2-1 W
Stratford Town	6-1 W	3-2 W
Leamington	4-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Bedford (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Bedford

DWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	10	5	W
22/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	4-1	8	4	W
12/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
31/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	6-1	9	5	W
15/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
11/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
08/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	4-2	9	5	W
04/05	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	7	6	D

Bromsgrove

LWWLWWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
22/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
15/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
25/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Bedford win (52%). Probabilities: Real Bedford 52%, draw 24%, Bromsgrove 24%.

How many goals are expected in Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Real Bedford 1.94 · Bromsgrove 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.