Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Redditch vs Bishop's Stortford

Team pages: Redditch · Bishop's Stortford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Redditch1.65

Bishop's Stortford1.25

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Redditch Draw Bishop's Stortford

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Redditch 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLWLWD

Bishop's Stortford 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Redditch 1–2–3 Bishop's Stortford (6 last)

Redditch0-0Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford3-2Redditch
Bishop's Stortford2-0Redditch
Redditch1-0Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford3-0Redditch
Redditch2-2Bishop's Stortford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redditch 1520 · Bishop's Stortford 1457

	Redditch	Draw	Bishop's Stortford
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Redditch (rating 1520 vs 1457).
H2H favours Bishop's Stortford: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redditch	Bishop's Stortford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	0.8 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +3’	1.91	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Redditch 1–2–3 Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	0-0	Bishop's Stortford
11/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	3-2 HT 1-1	Redditch
28/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	2-0	Redditch
17/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	1-0	Bishop's Stortford
10/03/18 England Southern League Premier	Bishop's Stortford	3-0	Redditch
25/11/17 England Southern League Premier	Redditch	2-2	Bishop's Stortford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	8	8	0	0	26	8	24
2	Bromsgrove	8	7	0	1	16	7	21
2	Bury Town	8	7	0	1	16	7	21
4	Alvechurch	8	6	1	1	17	4	19
5	Kettering	8	4	3	1	12	5	15
6	Anstey Nomads	8	4	3	1	15	9	15
7	Rushall Olympic	8	5	0	3	16	13	15
8	Peterborough Sports	8	3	3	2	13	11	12
9	Leiston	8	3	2	3	15	14	11
10	Needham Market	7	3	1	3	11	11	10
11	Bishop's Stortford	8	3	1	4	9	11	10
12	Redditch	8	2	3	3	10	11	9
13	Halesowen	6	3	0	3	7	8	9
14	Stourbridge	7	2	3	2	9	11	9
15	Racing Club Warwick	8	1	3	4	8	12	6
16	Worcester City	8	1	3	4	5	10	6
17	Banbury	8	1	3	4	7	13	6
18	Leighton Town	7	1	2	4	10	15	5
19	Leamington	7	1	2	4	7	13	5
20	Hitchin	8	0	4	4	6	12	4
21	Stratford Town	8	0	3	5	6	16	3
22	Stamford	8	0	0	8	1	21	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redditch	Bishop's Stortford
Halesowen	3-1 W	0-1 L
Leiston	1-3 L	1-3 L
Bromsgrove	1-2 L	0-3 L
Hitchin	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Redditch (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Redditch

WDDDLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
21/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
08/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
25/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W

Bishop's Stortford

LDLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
08/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Barwell England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-3	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redditch vs Bishop's Stortford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Redditch win (46%). Probabilities: Redditch 46%, draw 26%, Bishop's Stortford 28%.

How many goals are expected in Redditch vs Bishop's Stortford?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Redditch 1.65 · Bishop's Stortford 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Redditch vs Bishop's Stortford?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.