Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Banbury vs Stratford Town
Team pages: Banbury · Stratford Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Banbury1.28
Stratford Town1.04
1X2
Banbury
Draw
Stratford Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Banbury
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Stratford Town
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banbury
3–3–0
Stratford Town
(6 last)
- Banbury0-0Stratford Town
- Stratford Town0-3Banbury
- Banbury0-0Stratford Town
- Stratford Town1-1Banbury
- Stratford Town0-1Banbury
- Banbury1-0Stratford Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banbury 1484 · Stratford Town 1429
| Banbury | Draw | Stratford Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banbury (rating 1484 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Banbury: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banbury | Stratford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banbury 3–3–0 Stratford Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Banbury | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stratford Town |
| 09/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Stratford Town | 0-3 | Banbury |
| 29/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Banbury | 0-0 | Stratford Town |
| 24/09/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Stratford Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Banbury |
| 20/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification | Stratford Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Banbury |
| 27/12/21 England Southern Premier League Central | Banbury | 1-0 | Stratford Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Redditch | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banbury | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Bedford | 1-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Racing Club Warwick | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Needham Market | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Redditch | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Banbury (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Stratford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banbury vs Stratford Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banbury win (42%). Probabilities: Banbury 42%, draw 28%, Stratford Town 30%.
How many goals are expected in Banbury vs Stratford Town?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Banbury 1.28 · Stratford Town 1.04), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Banbury vs Stratford Town?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.