Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/09, 20:45

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove

Team pages: Stratford Town · Bromsgrove

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Stratford Town1.01

Bromsgrove1.48

1X2

26% 27% 48%

Stratford Town Draw Bromsgrove

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDDLLLDL

Bromsgrove 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Stratford Town 3–3 Bromsgrove (6 last)

Stratford Town1-2Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-2Stratford Town
Stratford Town2-3Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-3Stratford Town
Stratford Town1-2Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove1-2Stratford Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1475 · Bromsgrove 1572

	Stratford Town	Draw	Bromsgrove
Our model	25%	29%	47%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bromsgrove (rating 1475 vs 1572).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Bromsgrove
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +6’	3.40	3.60	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 3–0–3 Bromsgrove

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-2	Bromsgrove
06/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-2	Stratford Town
21/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-3	Bromsgrove
13/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-3	Stratford Town
20/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-2	Bromsgrove
11/11/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	1-2 HT 0-1	Stratford Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	7	7	0	0	22	7	21
2	Alvechurch	7	6	0	1	15	2	18
3	Bury Town	7	6	0	1	15	7	18
4	Bromsgrove	7	6	0	1	13	5	18
5	Kettering	7	4	3	0	10	2	15
6	Anstey Nomads	7	4	2	1	13	7	14
7	Rushall Olympic	7	4	0	3	13	11	12
8	Leiston	7	3	2	2	15	12	11
9	Needham Market	7	3	1	3	11	11	10
10	Bishop's Stortford	8	3	1	4	9	11	10
11	Stourbridge	6	2	3	1	8	7	9
12	Peterborough Sports	7	2	3	2	11	11	9
13	Halesowen	6	3	0	3	7	8	9
14	Redditch	7	1	3	3	8	10	6
15	Racing Club Warwick	7	1	3	3	7	10	6
16	Leighton Town	7	1	2	4	10	15	5
17	Worcester City	7	1	2	4	5	10	5
18	Banbury	7	1	2	4	7	13	5
18	Leamington	7	1	2	4	7	13	5
20	Hitchin	7	0	4	3	6	11	4
21	Stratford Town	7	0	3	4	4	13	3
22	Stamford	8	0	0	8	1	21	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Bromsgrove
Needham Market	1-2 L	3-1 W
Real Bedford	1-6 L	1-3 L
Bury Town	1-3 L	1-0 W
Redditch	0-0 D	2-1 W
Worcester City	1-1 D	1-0 W
St Ives Town	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bromsgrove (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stratford Town

WLDDDLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-6	2	5	L
15/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	5	3	L
11/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
08/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/04	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W

Bromsgrove

WWLWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
22/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
15/08	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
25/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
18/04	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bromsgrove win (48%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 26%, draw 27%, Bromsgrove 48%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Stratford Town 1.01 · Bromsgrove 1.48), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.