Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Stamford vs Bishop's Stortford
Team pages: Stamford · Bishop's Stortford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Stamford1.17
Bishop's Stortford1.31
1X2
Stamford
Draw
Bishop's Stortford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Stamford
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Bishop's Stortford
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stamford
2–1–1
Bishop's Stortford
(4 last)
- Stamford1-0Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford1-0Stamford
- Stamford1-0Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford2-2Stamford
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stamford 1401 · Bishop's Stortford 1442
| Stamford | Draw | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bishop's Stortford (rating 1401 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Stamford: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stamford | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stamford 2–1–1 Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Stamford | 1-0 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 16/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 1-0 | Stamford |
| 05/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Stamford | 1-0 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 24/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 2-2 | Stamford |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Alvechurch | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Kettering | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Leiston | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Peterborough Sports | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Redditch | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 5 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Banbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 18 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stamford | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Stourbridge | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Harborough Town | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Banbury | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bishop's Stortford (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stamford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stamford vs Bishop's Stortford?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bishop's Stortford win (40%). Probabilities: Stamford 33%, draw 27%, Bishop's Stortford 40%.
How many goals are expected in Stamford vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Stamford 1.17 · Bishop's Stortford 1.31), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stamford vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.