Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Kettering vs Stratford Town
Team pages: Kettering · Stratford Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Kettering1.59
Stratford Town0.81
1X2
Kettering
Draw
Stratford Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kettering
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Stratford Town
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kettering
2–2–2
Stratford Town
(6 last)
- Stratford Town2-0Kettering
- Kettering2-0Stratford Town
- Stratford Town3-3Kettering
- Kettering1-1Stratford Town
- Stratford Town2-0Kettering
- Kettering1-0Stratford Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kettering 1549 · Stratford Town 1483
| Kettering | Draw | Stratford Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kettering (rating 1549 vs 1483).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kettering | Stratford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.6 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 2–2–2 Stratford Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Stratford Town | 2-0 | Kettering |
| 03/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 2-0 | Stratford Town |
| 28/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Stratford Town | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Kettering |
| 17/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 1-1 | Stratford Town |
| 01/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Stratford Town | 2-0 | Kettering |
| 09/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 1-0 | Stratford Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Alvechurch | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Kettering | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Leiston | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | Stourbridge | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 11 | Redditch | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Peterborough Sports | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Halesowen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Leighton Town | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 |
| 16 | Worcester City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Leamington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Banbury | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 19 | Bishop's Stortford | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kettering | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 1-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Bury Town | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Redditch | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kettering (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kettering
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Stratford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Stratford Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (56%). Probabilities: Kettering 56%, draw 24%, Stratford Town 20%.
How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Stratford Town?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Kettering 1.59 · Stratford Town 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kettering vs Stratford Town?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.