Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Real Bedford vs Redditch

Team pages: Real Bedford · Redditch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Real Bedford2.55

Redditch1.23

1X2

65% 20% 15%

Real Bedford Draw Redditch

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Bedford 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Redditch 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Real Bedford 1–1 Redditch (2 last)

Redditch1-4Real Bedford
Real Bedford0-2Redditch

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Bedford 1652 · Redditch 1509

	Real Bedford	Draw	Redditch
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1652 vs 1509).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Bedford	Redditch
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +2’	1.40	4.33	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Bedford 1–0–1 Redditch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	1-4	Real Bedford
06/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Real Bedford	0-2	Redditch

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	6	6	0	0	20	6	18
2	Bury Town	6	6	0	0	15	6	18
3	Alvechurch	6	5	0	1	11	2	15
4	Bromsgrove	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
5	Kettering	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
6	Rushall Olympic	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	Anstey Nomads	6	3	2	1	10	5	11
8	Leiston	6	2	2	2	13	11	8
9	Stourbridge	5	2	2	1	7	6	8
10	Needham Market	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
11	Redditch	6	1	3	2	7	8	6
12	Peterborough Sports	6	1	3	2	7	9	6
13	Racing Club Warwick	6	1	3	2	5	7	6
14	Halesowen	5	2	0	3	3	6	6
15	Leighton Town	6	1	2	3	8	11	5
16	Worcester City	6	1	2	3	5	8	5
17	Leamington	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
18	Banbury	6	1	2	3	6	11	5
19	Bishop's Stortford	6	1	1	4	3	10	4
20	Hitchin	6	0	3	3	5	10	3
21	Stratford Town	6	0	3	3	4	12	3
22	Stamford	6	0	0	6	1	14	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Bedford	Redditch
Leighton Town	3-2 W	1-1 D
Halesowen	2-0 W	3-1 W
Stratford Town	6-1 W	0-0 D
Banbury	3-1 W	0-0 D
Kettering	3-1 W	1-1 D
Bromsgrove	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Bedford (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Bedford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	6-1	9	5	W
15/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
11/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
08/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	4-2	9	5	W
04/05	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
29/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
25/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/04	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-2	–	–	W

Redditch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
08/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
25/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
14/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
11/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Bedford vs Redditch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Bedford win (65%). Probabilities: Real Bedford 65%, draw 20%, Redditch 15%.

How many goals are expected in Real Bedford vs Redditch?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Real Bedford 2.55 · Redditch 1.23), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Bedford vs Redditch?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.