Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Stratford Town vs Worcester City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Stratford Town1.32
Worcester City1.14
1X2
Stratford Town
Draw
Worcester City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stratford Town
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Worcester City
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stratford Town
1–1
Worcester City
(2 last)
- Worcester City1-0Stratford Town
- Stratford Town1-0Worcester City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1556 · Worcester City 1498
| Stratford Town | Draw | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stratford Town (rating 1556 vs 1498).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stratford Town | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.7 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 1–0–1 Worcester City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Worcester City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stratford Town |
| 14/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Stratford Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Worcester City |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvechurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anstey Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bishop's Stortford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromsgrove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halesowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hitchin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kettering | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leamington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leighton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leiston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Needham Market | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club Warwick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Bedford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redditch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rushall Olympic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stamford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stourbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stratford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worcester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stratford Town | Worcester City |
|---|---|---|
| St Ives Town | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Spalding United | 3-1 W | 4-4 D |
| Kettering | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stratford Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stratford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Quorn England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/03 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Worcester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Evesham United UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Malvern Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Worcester City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stratford Town win (41%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 41%, draw 27%, Worcester City 32%.
How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Worcester City?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Stratford Town 1.32 · Worcester City 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Worcester City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.