Prediction: Alvechurch vs Worcester City
Team pages: Alvechurch · Worcester City
- Alvechurch2-0Worcester City
- Alvechurch0-0Worcester City
- Worcester City0-0Alvechurch
| Alvechurch | Draw | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alvechurch (rating 1552 vs 1488).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alvechurch | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0 | 2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alvechurch 1–2–0 Worcester City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Worcester City |
| 25/10/25 England FA Trophy | Alvechurch | 0-0 | Worcester City |
| 23/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Worcester City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alvechurch |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alvechurch | Worcester City |
|---|---|---|
| Kettering | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Leiston | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alvechurch (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvechurch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Kidderminster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Cliftonville UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleshill Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shepshed Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Boldmere St Michaels UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Bedworth Utd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Worcester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Evesham United UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Malvern Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvechurch vs Worcester City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Worcester City win (37%). Probabilities: Alvechurch 34%, draw 29%, Worcester City 37%.
How many goals are expected in Alvechurch vs Worcester City?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Alvechurch 1.13 · Worcester City 1.18), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alvechurch vs Worcester City?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.