Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Hitchin vs Needham Market
Team pages: Hitchin · Needham Market
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Hitchin1.25
Needham Market1.46
1X2
Hitchin
Draw
Needham Market
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hitchin
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Needham Market
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hitchin
1–5
Needham Market
(6 last)
- Hitchin0-2Needham Market
- Needham Market2-0Hitchin
- Needham Market3-0Hitchin
- Hitchin1-0Needham Market
- Needham Market3-1Hitchin
- Hitchin1-6Needham Market
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hitchin 1492 · Needham Market 1523
| Hitchin | Draw | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Needham Market: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hitchin | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hitchin 1–0–5 Needham Market
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 0-2 | Needham Market |
| 15/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Needham Market | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hitchin |
| 02/01/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Needham Market | 3-0 | Hitchin |
| 29/08/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 1-0 | Needham Market |
| 22/01/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Needham Market | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Hitchin |
| 16/10/21 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 1-6 | Needham Market |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hitchin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Royston Town Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Dag & Red UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Luton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Thame Utd England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 22/04 | London Lions England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Milton Keynes Irish England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | London Lions England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
Needham Market
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | AFC Sudbury Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Walsham Le Willows Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Soham Town Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Quorn England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hitchin vs Needham Market?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Needham Market win (42%). Probabilities: Hitchin 32%, draw 26%, Needham Market 42%.
How many goals are expected in Hitchin vs Needham Market?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Hitchin 1.25 · Needham Market 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hitchin vs Needham Market?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.