Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Stamford vs Bury Town
Team pages: Stamford · Bury Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Stamford1.17
Bury Town1.36
1X2
Stamford
Draw
Bury Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stamford
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Bury Town
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stamford
0–1–1
Bury Town
(2 last)
- Bury Town0-0Stamford
- Stamford0-2Bury Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stamford 1447 · Bury Town 1513
| Stamford | Draw | Bury Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bury Town (rating 1447 vs 1513).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stamford | Bury Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/14/57% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stamford 0–1–1 Bury Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Bury Town | 0-0 | Stamford |
| 06/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Stamford | 0-2 | Bury Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stamford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Shepshed Dynamo Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Bourne Town Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Grantham Club Friendly List |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Blackstones Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Bury Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Cambridge City Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Ipswich Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stamford vs Bury Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bury Town win (41%). Probabilities: Stamford 32%, draw 28%, Bury Town 41%.
How many goals are expected in Stamford vs Bury Town?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Stamford 1.17 · Bury Town 1.36), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stamford vs Bury Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.