Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bishop's Stortford vs Alvechurch
Team pages: Bishop's Stortford · Alvechurch
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Bishop's Stortford1.24
Alvechurch1.33
1X2
Bishop's Stortford
Draw
Alvechurch
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bishop's Stortford
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Alvechurch
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bishop's Stortford
2–1–1
Alvechurch
(4 last)
- Bishop's Stortford2-0Alvechurch
- Alvechurch1-1Bishop's Stortford
- Alvechurch1-0Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford2-1Alvechurch
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bishop's Stortford 1441 · Alvechurch 1559
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alvechurch (rating 1441 vs 1559).
- H2H favours Bishop's Stortford: 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bishop's Stortford | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/17/50% | 14/71/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 0.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bishop's Stortford 2–1–1 Alvechurch
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 2-0 | Alvechurch |
| 16/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 04/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 10/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 2-1 | Alvechurch |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kettering | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bromsgrove | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Banbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Redditch | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Halesowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Leamington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | Enfield Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | St Ives Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Spalding United Club Friendly List |
0-5 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Chelmsford UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Alvechurch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Kidderminster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Cliftonville UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleshill Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shepshed Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Boldmere St Michaels UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Bedworth Utd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bishop's Stortford vs Alvechurch?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alvechurch win (38%). Probabilities: Bishop's Stortford 34%, draw 28%, Alvechurch 38%.
How many goals are expected in Bishop's Stortford vs Alvechurch?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Bishop's Stortford 1.24 · Alvechurch 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bishop's Stortford vs Alvechurch?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.