Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Needham Market vs Halesowen

Team pages: Needham Market · Halesowen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Needham Market1.37

Halesowen1.37

1X2

36% 27% 36%

Needham Market Draw Halesowen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Needham Market 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWDLWL

Halesowen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLDDLW

Head-to-head

Needham Market 2–3–1 Halesowen (6 last)

Needham Market3-0Halesowen
Halesowen2-0Needham Market
Halesowen0-1Needham Market
Needham Market0-0Halesowen
Needham Market1-1Halesowen
Halesowen1-1Needham Market

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Needham Market 1510 · Halesowen 1504

	Needham Market	Draw	Halesowen
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Needham Market: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Needham Market	Halesowen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
18:46 +11’	2.45	3.40	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Needham Market 2–3–1 Halesowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	3-0 HT 2-0	Halesowen
01/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	2-0 HT 0-0	Needham Market
13/01/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	0-1	Needham Market
12/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	0-0	Halesowen
09/02/19 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	1-1	Halesowen
20/10/18 England Southern Premier League Central	Halesowen	1-1	Needham Market

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	3	3	0	0	9	3	9
2	Bury Town	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
3	Kettering	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
4	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
5	Stourbridge	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Bromsgrove	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
7	Rushall Olympic	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
8	Anstey Nomads	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
8	Leighton Town	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Leiston	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
11	Racing Club Warwick	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Banbury	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
13	Redditch	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
14	Halesowen	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
15	Needham Market	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
16	Stratford Town	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
17	Hitchin	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	Leamington	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	Worcester City	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
20	Peterborough Sports	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
22	Stamford	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Needham Market	Halesowen
AFC Sudbury	3-1 W	5-0 W
Stourbridge	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Needham Market

WDLWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
08/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
24/07	Felixstowe & Walton Utd UK Friendlies	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
21/07	AFC Sudbury Club Friendly List	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/07	Walsham Le Willows Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/07	Soham Town Rangers Club Friendly List	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
25/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
15/04	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W

Halesowen

DWLWWLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/07	Stourbridge UK Friendlies	2-2	3-3	7	1	D
25/07	Tamworth UK Friendlies	1-0	2-2	1	0	D
18/07	Kidderminster UK Friendlies	0-0	0-2	5	0	L
14/07	Wulfrunians Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
10/07	Lye Town Club Friendly List	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
29/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
25/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	11	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Needham Market vs Halesowen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Needham Market win (36%). Probabilities: Needham Market 36%, draw 27%, Halesowen 36%.

How many goals are expected in Needham Market vs Halesowen?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Needham Market 1.37 · Halesowen 1.37), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Needham Market vs Halesowen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.