Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Racing Club Warwick vs Hitchin
Team pages: Racing Club Warwick · Hitchin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Racing Club Warwick1.52
Hitchin1.04
1X2
Racing Club Warwick
Draw
Hitchin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club Warwick
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Hitchin
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club Warwick 1506 · Hitchin 1461
| Racing Club Warwick | Draw | Hitchin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club Warwick (rating 1506 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club Warwick | Hitchin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/75/13% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.6 | 3.3 / 0 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kettering | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bromsgrove | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Banbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Redditch | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Halesowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Leamington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club Warwick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Coleshill Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/07 | Pershore Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/03 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/01 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Hitchin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Royston Town Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Dag & Red UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Luton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Thame Utd England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 22/04 | London Lions England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club Warwick vs Hitchin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club Warwick win (48%). Probabilities: Racing Club Warwick 48%, draw 26%, Hitchin 26%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club Warwick vs Hitchin?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Racing Club Warwick 1.52 · Hitchin 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club Warwick vs Hitchin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.