Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Worcester City vs Stamford
Team pages: Worcester City · Stamford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Worcester City1.75
Stamford0.94
1X2
Worcester City
Draw
Stamford
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Worcester City
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Stamford
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Worcester City
1–1
Stamford
(2 last)
- Worcester City0-1Stamford
- Stamford0-3Worcester City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Worcester City 1479 · Stamford 1416
| Worcester City | Draw | Stamford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worcester City (rating 1479 vs 1416).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Worcester City | Stamford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 17/17/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Worcester City 1–0–1 Stamford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Worcester City | 0-1 | Stamford |
| 11/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Stamford | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Worcester City |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kettering | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bromsgrove | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Banbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Redditch | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Halesowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Leamington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Worcester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Evesham United UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Malvern Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Stamford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Shepshed Dynamo Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Bourne Town Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Grantham Club Friendly List |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Blackstones Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Worcester City vs Stamford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Worcester City win (56%). Probabilities: Worcester City 56%, draw 25%, Stamford 20%.
How many goals are expected in Worcester City vs Stamford?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Worcester City 1.75 · Stamford 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Worcester City vs Stamford?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.