Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Halesowen vs Real Bedford
Team pages: Halesowen · Real Bedford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Halesowen1.75
Real Bedford1.91
1X2
Halesowen
Draw
Real Bedford
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Halesowen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Real Bedford
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Halesowen
1–1
Real Bedford
(2 last)
- Real Bedford2-1Halesowen
- Halesowen3-2Real Bedford
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halesowen 1534 · Real Bedford 1613
| Halesowen | Draw | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1534 vs 1613).
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halesowen | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 3.4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halesowen 1–0–1 Real Bedford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Real Bedford | 2-1 | Halesowen |
| 16/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 3-2 | Real Bedford |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Alvechurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Rushall Olympic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Kettering | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Stourbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Halesowen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Leiston | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Leighton Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Banbury | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Worcester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Redditch | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Needham Market | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Stratford Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 20 | Leamington | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Halesowen | Real Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Kettering | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Bromsgrove | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Bedford (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halesowen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Real Bedford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/08 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Halesowen vs Real Bedford?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Bedford win (41%). Probabilities: Halesowen 35%, draw 24%, Real Bedford 41%.
How many goals are expected in Halesowen vs Real Bedford?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Halesowen 1.75 · Real Bedford 1.91), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Halesowen vs Real Bedford?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.