Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bury Town vs Halesowen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Bury Town1.34
Halesowen1.49
1X2
Bury Town
Draw
Halesowen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bury Town
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Halesowen
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bury Town
1–1
Halesowen
(2 last)
- Halesowen3-1Bury Town
- Bury Town2-1Halesowen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bury Town 1497 · Halesowen 1522
| Bury Town | Draw | Halesowen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bury Town | Halesowen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 43/57/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bury Town 1–0–1 Halesowen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Halesowen | 3-1 | Bury Town |
| 08/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bury Town | 2-1 | Halesowen |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvechurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anstey Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bishop's Stortford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromsgrove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halesowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hitchin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kettering | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leamington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leighton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leiston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Needham Market | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club Warwick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Bedford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redditch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rushall Olympic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stamford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stourbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stratford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worcester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bury Town | Halesowen |
|---|---|---|
| Kettering | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Harborough Town | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bury Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Cambridge City Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Ipswich Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Halesowen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Stourbridge UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Kidderminster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Wulfrunians Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Lye Town Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bury Town vs Halesowen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Halesowen win (41%). Probabilities: Bury Town 33%, draw 26%, Halesowen 41%.
How many goals are expected in Bury Town vs Halesowen?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Bury Town 1.34 · Halesowen 1.49), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bury Town vs Halesowen?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.