Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Kettering vs Alvechurch
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Kettering1.61
Alvechurch1.01
1X2
Kettering
Draw
Alvechurch
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kettering
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Alvechurch
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kettering
3–1–2
Alvechurch
(6 last)
- Kettering0-2Alvechurch
- Alvechurch2-0Kettering
- Alvechurch0-1Kettering
- Kettering2-1Alvechurch
- Kettering2-0Alvechurch
- Alvechurch1-1Kettering
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kettering 1500 · Alvechurch 1581
| Kettering | Draw | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alvechurch (rating 1500 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Kettering: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kettering | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/71/14% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 3–1–2 Alvechurch
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Alvechurch |
| 11/10/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Kettering |
| 18/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kettering |
| 04/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 2-1 | Alvechurch |
| 23/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Kettering | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Alvechurch |
| 25/11/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Alvechurch | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kettering |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvechurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anstey Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bishop's Stortford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromsgrove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halesowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hitchin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kettering | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leamington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leighton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leiston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Needham Market | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club Warwick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Bedford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redditch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rushall Olympic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stamford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stourbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stratford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worcester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kettering
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bedford Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Hemel Hempstead Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
4-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
Alvechurch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kidderminster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Cliftonville UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleshill Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shepshed Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Boldmere St Michaels UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Bedworth Utd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Alvechurch?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (51%). Probabilities: Kettering 51%, draw 26%, Alvechurch 23%.
How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Alvechurch?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Kettering 1.61 · Alvechurch 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kettering vs Alvechurch?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.