Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Needham Market vs Bromsgrove

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Needham Market1.25

Bromsgrove1.37

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Needham Market Draw Bromsgrove

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Needham Market 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWLWD

Bromsgrove 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Needham Market 3–3 Bromsgrove (6 last)

Needham Market1-0Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove0-3Needham Market
Bromsgrove3-0Needham Market
Needham Market2-1Bromsgrove
Bromsgrove2-0Needham Market
Needham Market0-1Bromsgrove

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Needham Market 1548 · Bromsgrove 1573

	Needham Market	Draw	Bromsgrove
Our model	33%	29%	38%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Needham Market	Bromsgrove
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	2.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +37’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Needham Market 3–0–3 Bromsgrove

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	1-0 HT 1-0	Bromsgrove
23/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	0-3	Needham Market
23/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	3-0 HT 2-0	Needham Market
25/11/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	2-1 HT 0-1	Bromsgrove
07/03/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Bromsgrove	2-0 HT 2-0	Needham Market
13/08/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	0-1 HT 0-0	Bromsgrove

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alvechurch	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Anstey Nomads	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Banbury	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bishop's Stortford	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bromsgrove	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bury Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Halesowen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hitchin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kettering	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leamington	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leighton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leiston	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Needham Market	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Peterborough Sports	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Club Warwick	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Bedford	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Redditch	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rushall Olympic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stamford	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stourbridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stratford Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Worcester City	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Needham Market

WWWWDLWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Felixstowe & Walton Utd UK Friendlies	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
21/07	AFC Sudbury Club Friendly List	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/07	Walsham Le Willows Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/07	Soham Town Rangers Club Friendly List	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
25/04	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
15/04	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/04	Barwell England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
06/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

Bromsgrove

WWLWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hereford FC Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
28/07	Malvern Town Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/07	Trefelin BGC Club Friendly List	3-0	8-0	–	–	W
21/07	Bedworth Utd UK Friendlies	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
18/07	Rugby Town Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/07	Sporting Khalsa Club Friendly List	0-1	4-2	–	–	W
11/07	Stourport Swifts Club Friendly List	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
25/04	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
18/04	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Needham Market vs Bromsgrove?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bromsgrove win (39%). Probabilities: Needham Market 34%, draw 27%, Bromsgrove 39%.

How many goals are expected in Needham Market vs Bromsgrove?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Needham Market 1.25 · Bromsgrove 1.37), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Needham Market vs Bromsgrove?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.