Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Banbury vs Stourbridge

Team pages: Banbury · Stourbridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Banbury1.38

Stourbridge1.41

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Banbury Draw Stourbridge

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Banbury 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWDWLL

Stourbridge 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Banbury 2–4–0 Stourbridge (6 last)

Stourbridge1-1Banbury
Banbury3-2Stourbridge
Stourbridge0-0Banbury
Banbury0-0Stourbridge
Stourbridge0-2Banbury
Banbury1-1Stourbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banbury 1515 · Stourbridge 1520

	Banbury	Draw	Stourbridge
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Banbury: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banbury	Stourbridge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:52 +2’	2.50	3.40	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banbury 2–4–0 Stourbridge

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	1-1 HT 0-0	Banbury
25/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	3-2 HT 2-1	Stourbridge
11/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	0-0 HT 0-0	Banbury
16/11/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	0-0	Stourbridge
08/01/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	0-2 HT 0-1	Banbury
14/08/21 England Southern Premier League Central	Banbury	1-1	Stourbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
2	Bury Town	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
3	Alvechurch	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
4	Bromsgrove	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
5	Rushall Olympic	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
6	Anstey Nomads	4	2	2	0	6	3	8
7	Kettering	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
8	Stourbridge	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
9	Halesowen	3	2	0	1	2	1	6
10	Leiston	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
11	Racing Club Warwick	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	Leighton Town	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	Banbury	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
14	Worcester City	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
15	Redditch	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
16	Needham Market	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
17	Hitchin	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
18	Peterborough Sports	4	0	2	2	2	5	2
19	Stratford Town	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
20	Leamington	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	4	0	1	3	1	7	1
22	Stamford	4	0	0	4	1	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banbury	Stourbridge
Bishop's Stortford	0-0 D	1-1 D
Needham Market	2-0 W	0-1 L
Stamford	0-4 L	2-0 W
AFC Sudbury	2-0 W	4-0 W
Royston Town	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stourbridge (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banbury

LLWLDWDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
11/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
08/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
14/04	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-4	2	8	L
11/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/04	Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-5	–	–	L
03/04	Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L

Stourbridge

WLDDLWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
25/04	Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/04	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
11/04	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/04	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/03	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banbury vs Stourbridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stourbridge win (37%). Probabilities: Banbury 36%, draw 27%, Stourbridge 37%.

How many goals are expected in Banbury vs Stourbridge?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Banbury 1.38 · Stourbridge 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Banbury vs Stourbridge?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.