Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bromsgrove vs Bishop's Stortford
Team pages: Bromsgrove · Bishop's Stortford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Bromsgrove2
Bishop's Stortford0.92
1X2
Bromsgrove
Draw
Bishop's Stortford
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Bromsgrove
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Bishop's Stortford
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bromsgrove
1–3
Bishop's Stortford
(4 last)
- Bishop's Stortford2-1Bromsgrove
- Bromsgrove0-2Bishop's Stortford
- Bromsgrove2-3Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford0-2Bromsgrove
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bromsgrove 1583 · Bishop's Stortford 1407
| Bromsgrove | Draw | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bromsgrove (rating 1583 vs 1407).
- H2H favours Bishop's Stortford: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bromsgrove | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 0.7 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bromsgrove 1–0–3 Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 2-1 | Bromsgrove |
| 09/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bromsgrove | 0-2 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 26/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bromsgrove | 2-3 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 14/01/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 0-2 | Bromsgrove |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Alvechurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Rushall Olympic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Kettering | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Stourbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Halesowen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Leiston | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Leighton Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Banbury | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Worcester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Redditch | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Needham Market | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Peterborough Sports | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Stratford Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 20 | Leamington | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bromsgrove | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Stratford Town | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Halesowen | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bromsgrove (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bromsgrove
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bromsgrove vs Bishop's Stortford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bromsgrove win (62%). Probabilities: Bromsgrove 62%, draw 22%, Bishop's Stortford 16%.
How many goals are expected in Bromsgrove vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Bromsgrove 2 · Bishop's Stortford 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bromsgrove vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.