Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Banbury vs Racing Club Warwick
Team pages: Banbury · Racing Club Warwick
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Banbury1.41
Racing Club Warwick0.95
1X2
Banbury
Draw
Racing Club Warwick
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Banbury
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Racing Club Warwick
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banbury 1549 · Racing Club Warwick 1521
| Banbury | Draw | Racing Club Warwick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banbury | Racing Club Warwick | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.7 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.7 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Quorn UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Potters Bar Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Easington Sports Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Coventry United FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 11/04 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Racing Club Warwick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Coleshill Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/07 | Pershore Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/03 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/01 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/12 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | St Neots Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banbury vs Racing Club Warwick?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banbury win (48%). Probabilities: Banbury 48%, draw 27%, Racing Club Warwick 25%.
How many goals are expected in Banbury vs Racing Club Warwick?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Banbury 1.41 · Racing Club Warwick 0.95), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Banbury vs Racing Club Warwick?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.