Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Leighton Town vs Kettering
Team pages: Leighton Town · Kettering
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Leighton Town1.1
Kettering1.39
1X2
Leighton Town
Draw
Kettering
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leighton Town
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Kettering
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leighton Town 1566 · Kettering 1530
| Leighton Town | Draw | Kettering | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leighton Town | Kettering | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/83/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.7 | 3.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leighton Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Biggleswade Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Wellingborough Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Stotfold Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Northwood England Southern League Div One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Barton Rovers England Southern League Div One |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/03 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 24/01 | Aylesbury United England Southern League Div One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 13/12 | AFC Dunstable England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/11 | Biggleswade FC England Southern League Div One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Kettering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Bedford Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Hemel Hempstead Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leighton Town vs Kettering?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kettering win (44%). Probabilities: Leighton Town 30%, draw 26%, Kettering 44%.
How many goals are expected in Leighton Town vs Kettering?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Leighton Town 1.1 · Kettering 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leighton Town vs Kettering?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.