Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Leiston vs Bishop's Stortford
Team pages: Leiston · Bishop's Stortford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Leiston1.46
Bishop's Stortford1.05
1X2
Leiston
Draw
Bishop's Stortford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leiston
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Bishop's Stortford
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leiston
2–1–2
Bishop's Stortford
(5 last)
- Leiston0-1Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford0-1Leiston
- Bishop's Stortford1-2Leiston
- Leiston1-1Bishop's Stortford
- Bishop's Stortford5-1Leiston
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leiston 1583 · Bishop's Stortford 1434
| Leiston | Draw | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiston (rating 1583 vs 1434).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiston | Bishop's Stortford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 89/0/11% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiston 2–1–2 Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 09/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 0-1 | Leiston |
| 21/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Bishop's Stortford | 1-2 | Leiston |
| 13/08/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bishop's Stortford |
| 27/11/21 England FA Trophy | Bishop's Stortford | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Leiston |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leiston | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Real Bedford | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Leiston (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leiston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Lowestoft Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Gorleston UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Mulbarton Wanderers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Dereham Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Quorn England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Bishop's Stortford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | Enfield Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | St Ives Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Spalding United Club Friendly List |
0-5 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Chelmsford UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leiston vs Bishop's Stortford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiston win (46%). Probabilities: Leiston 46%, draw 27%, Bishop's Stortford 27%.
How many goals are expected in Leiston vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Leiston 1.46 · Bishop's Stortford 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leiston vs Bishop's Stortford?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.