Prediction: Bury Town vs Leamington

Team pages: Bury Town · Leamington

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Bury Town1.47
Leamington1.26
1X2
41% 27% 32%
Bury Town Draw Leamington
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bury Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWLDLWWW
Leamington 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLDWLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bury Town 1542 · Leamington 1482
Bury TownDrawLeamington
Our model41%28%31%
Market42%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bury Town (rating 1542 vs 1482).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bury TownLeamington
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.71.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 41.7 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 02.2 / 0

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Bedford 3300 939
2 Bury Town 3300 519
3 Kettering 3210 317
4 Alvechurch 3201 526
5 Stourbridge 2200 416
6 Bromsgrove 3201 646
7 Rushall Olympic 3201 546
8 Anstey Nomads 3120 435
8 Leighton Town 3120 435
10 Leiston 3111 544
11 Racing Club Warwick 3111 444
12 Banbury 3111 344
13 Redditch 3030 223
14 Halesowen 2101 113
15 Needham Market 3102 463
16 Stratford Town 3021 242
17 Hitchin 3012 361
17 Leamington 3012 361
17 Worcester City 3012 361
20 Peterborough Sports 3012 251
21 Bishop's Stortford 3012 141
22 Stamford 3003 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bury Town

DWDWLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Stratford Town
England Southern Premier League Central
3-0 3-1 23 W
11/08 Stamford
England Southern Premier League Central
1-0 W
08/08 Halesowen
England Southern Premier League Central
1-0 W
25/07 Cambridge City
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
17/07 Ipswich Wanderers
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
25/04 Kettering
England Southern Premier League Central
0-1 L
18/04 Barwell
England Southern Premier League Central
1-0 3-0 61 W
11/04 Stamford
England Southern Premier League Central
0-0 D
06/04 Leiston
England Southern Premier League Central
3-1 W
03/04 Worcester City
England Southern Premier League Central
1-1 D

Leamington

WWDDLDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Kettering
England Southern Premier League Central
0-1 L
11/08 Anstey Nomads
England Southern Premier League Central
0-0 1-1 04 D
08/08 Real Bedford
England Southern Premier League Central
1-1 2-4 45 L
01/08 Yate Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-1 72 W
25/07 Guernsey
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-2 D
21/07 Rugby Borough
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
14/07 Brackley
UK Friendlies
1-2 2-2 51 D
11/07 Walsall
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 10 D
07/07 Sutton Coldfield
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-1 21 W
04/07 Lye Town
Club Friendly List
3-0 5-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bury Town vs Leamington?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bury Town win (41%). Probabilities: Bury Town 41%, draw 27%, Leamington 32%.

How many goals are expected in Bury Town vs Leamington?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Bury Town 1.47 · Leamington 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bury Town vs Leamington?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.