Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Kettering vs Peterborough Sports
Team pages: Kettering · Peterborough Sports
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Kettering1.51
Peterborough Sports0.98
1X2
Kettering
Draw
Peterborough Sports
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kettering
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Peterborough Sports
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kettering
2–1–0
Peterborough Sports
(3 last)
- Kettering0-0Peterborough Sports
- Peterborough Sports1-2Kettering
- Peterborough Sports0-3Kettering
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kettering 1525 · Peterborough Sports 1431
| Kettering | Draw | Peterborough Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kettering (rating 1525 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Kettering: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kettering | Peterborough Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/71/29% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.8 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kettering 2–1–0 Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/23 England National League North | Kettering | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Peterborough Sports |
| 26/12/22 England National League North | Peterborough Sports | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kettering |
| 23/11/19 England FA Trophy | Peterborough Sports | 0-3 | Kettering |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kettering | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bromsgrove | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Banbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Redditch | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Halesowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Leamington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kettering
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Bedford Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Hemel Hempstead Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Newport Pagnell Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Peterborough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Blackstones Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Worksop England National League North |
0-6 | 0-8 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kettering vs Peterborough Sports?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kettering win (49%). Probabilities: Kettering 49%, draw 27%, Peterborough Sports 24%.
How many goals are expected in Kettering vs Peterborough Sports?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Kettering 1.51 · Peterborough Sports 0.98), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kettering vs Peterborough Sports?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.