Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Real Bedford vs Stratford Town

Team pages: Real Bedford · Stratford Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Real Bedford2.31

Stratford Town1.3

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Real Bedford Draw Stratford Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Real Bedford 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWDWWW

Stratford Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLDWDL

Head-to-head

Real Bedford 2–0 Stratford Town (2 last)

Real Bedford1-0Stratford Town
Stratford Town2-3Real Bedford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Bedford 1582 · Stratford Town 1498

	Real Bedford	Draw	Stratford Town
Our model	59%	21%	20%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1582 vs 1498).
H2H favours Real Bedford: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Bedford	Stratford Town
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:54 +2’	1.55	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Bedford 2–0–0 Stratford Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Real Bedford	1-0 HT 0-0	Stratford Town
01/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-3 HT 0-2	Real Bedford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	3	3	0	0	9	3	9
2	Bury Town	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
3	Kettering	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
4	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
5	Stourbridge	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Bromsgrove	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
7	Rushall Olympic	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
8	Anstey Nomads	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
8	Leighton Town	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Leiston	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
11	Racing Club Warwick	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Banbury	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
13	Redditch	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
14	Halesowen	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
15	Needham Market	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
16	Stratford Town	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
17	Hitchin	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	Leamington	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	Worcester City	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
20	Peterborough Sports	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
21	Bishop's Stortford	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
22	Stamford	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Bedford	Stratford Town
Spalding United	2-2 D	3-1 W
Kettering	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stratford Town (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Real Bedford

WDDLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
11/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
08/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	4-2	9	5	W
28/07	St Albans UK Friendlies	1-2	4-4	0	6	D
24/07	Bedford Town Club Friendly List	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
18/07	Berkhamsted Club Friendly List	4-1	4-2	–	–	W
14/07	Boreham Wood UK Friendlies	1-1	2-8	–	–	L
11/07	Harborough Town UK Friendlies	2-2	4-4	5	1	D
04/05	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
29/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	5	6	W

Stratford Town

WDDWWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	5	3	L
11/08	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
21/07	Brackley UK Friendlies	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
25/04	St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/04	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Quorn England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
24/03	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Bedford vs Stratford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Bedford win (59%). Probabilities: Real Bedford 59%, draw 22%, Stratford Town 19%.

How many goals are expected in Real Bedford vs Stratford Town?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Real Bedford 2.31 · Stratford Town 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Bedford vs Stratford Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.