Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Anstey Nomads vs Leiston
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Anstey Nomads1.41
Leiston1.38
1X2
Anstey Nomads
Draw
Leiston
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Anstey Nomads
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Leiston
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anstey Nomads 1563 · Leiston 1584
| Anstey Nomads | Draw | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Anstey Nomads | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvechurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anstey Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bishop's Stortford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromsgrove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halesowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hitchin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kettering | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leamington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leighton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leiston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Needham Market | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club Warwick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Bedford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redditch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rushall Olympic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stamford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stourbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stratford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worcester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anstey Nomads
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Hebburn Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sherwood Colliery Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Clipstone Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
4-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Bourne Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/03 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/01 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/01 | Halifax England FA Trophy |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/12 | Racing Club Warwick England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Leiston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lowestoft Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Gorleston UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Mulbarton Wanderers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Dereham Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/04 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Quorn England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Anstey Nomads win (37%). Probabilities: Anstey Nomads 37%, draw 27%, Leiston 36%.
How many goals are expected in Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Anstey Nomads 1.41 · Leiston 1.38), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.