Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Peterborough Sports vs Real Bedford
Team pages: Peterborough Sports · Real Bedford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Peterborough Sports1.82
Real Bedford2.01
1X2
Peterborough Sports
Draw
Real Bedford
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough Sports
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Real Bedford
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peterborough Sports 1449 · Real Bedford 1565
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 24% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1449 vs 1565).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterborough Sports | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 3.2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.6 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kettering | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leiston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Redditch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Banbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Halesowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leamington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Stamford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterborough Sports
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Newport Pagnell Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Peterborough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Blackstones Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Worksop England National League North |
0-6 | 0-8 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 28/03 | Leamington England National League North |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
Real Bedford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/07 | St Albans UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Bedford Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Berkhamsted Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Boreham Wood UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Harborough Town UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 04/05 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterborough Sports vs Real Bedford?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Bedford win (42%). Probabilities: Peterborough Sports 34%, draw 24%, Real Bedford 42%.
How many goals are expected in Peterborough Sports vs Real Bedford?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Peterborough Sports 1.82 · Real Bedford 2.01), with a 60% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterborough Sports vs Real Bedford?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.