Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Real Bedford vs Leamington
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Real Bedford2.26
Leamington1.69
1X2
Real Bedford
Draw
Leamington
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Bedford
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Leamington
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Bedford 1554 · Leamington 1502
| Real Bedford | Draw | Leamington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 50% | 22% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1554 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Bedford | Leamington | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvechurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anstey Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bishop's Stortford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromsgrove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bury Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halesowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hitchin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kettering | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leamington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leighton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leiston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Needham Market | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club Warwick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Bedford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Redditch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rushall Olympic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stamford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stourbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stratford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worcester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Bedford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | St Albans UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Bedford Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Berkhamsted Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Boreham Wood UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Harborough Town UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 04/05 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
Leamington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Yate Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Guernsey Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Rugby Borough Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Walsall UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Sutton Coldfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Lye Town Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Buxton England National League North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Southport England National League North |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Bedford vs Leamington?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Bedford win (50%). Probabilities: Real Bedford 50%, draw 22%, Leamington 28%.
How many goals are expected in Real Bedford vs Leamington?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Real Bedford 2.26 · Leamington 1.69), with a 61% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Bedford vs Leamington?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.