Prediction: Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC
Team pages: Lobos UPNFM · Olancho FC
- Lobos UPNFM2-1Olancho FC
- Olancho FC1-1Lobos UPNFM
- Olancho FC1-1Lobos UPNFM
- Lobos UPNFM1-1Olancho FC
- Olancho FC3-2Lobos UPNFM
- Lobos UPNFM1-1Olancho FC
| Lobos UPNFM | Draw | Olancho FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olancho FC (rating 1451 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lobos UPNFM | Olancho FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.2 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lobos UPNFM 1–4–1 Olancho FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Lobos UPNFM | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Olancho FC |
| 02/02/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Olancho FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lobos UPNFM |
| 09/11/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Olancho FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lobos UPNFM |
| 10/09/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Lobos UPNFM | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Olancho FC |
| 28/04/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Olancho FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Lobos UPNFM |
| 23/02/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Lobos UPNFM | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Olancho FC |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Real Espana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genesis de Comayagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CD Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Marathon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Olancho FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico Choloma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lobos UPNFM | Olancho FC |
|---|---|---|
| Motagua | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Genesis de Comayagua | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Platense | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Victoria | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Olancho FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lobos UPNFM
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/04 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | CD Victoria Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/03 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Olancho FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | CD Victoria Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olancho FC win (45%). Probabilities: Lobos UPNFM 27%, draw 28%, Olancho FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Lobos UPNFM 1.04 · Olancho FC 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.