Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 17/08, 03:30

Prediction: Olancho FC vs Juticalpa

Team pages: Olancho FC · Juticalpa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Olancho FC2.41
Juticalpa0.57
1X2
78% 15% 7%
Olancho FC Draw Juticalpa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Olancho FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDLWLDWD
Juticalpa 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWDLDLLWLL
Head-to-head
Olancho FC 3–2–1 Juticalpa (6 last)
  • Juticalpa0-4Olancho FC
  • Olancho FC4-1Juticalpa
  • Olancho FC0-1Juticalpa
  • Juticalpa1-1Olancho FC
  • Juticalpa0-1Olancho FC
  • Olancho FC1-1Juticalpa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olancho FC 1518 · Juticalpa 1440
Olancho FCDrawJuticalpa
Our model78%16%6%
Market78%15%7%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olancho FC (rating 1518 vs 1440).
  • H2H favours Olancho FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Olancho FCJuticalpa
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.10.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.12.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.33.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Olancho FC 321 Juticalpa

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/04/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Juticalpa0-4
HT 0-4
Olancho FC
15/02/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Olancho FC4-1
HT 2-0
Juticalpa
17/10/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Olancho FC0-1
HT 0-1
Juticalpa
02/08/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Juticalpa1-1
HT 1-1
Olancho FC
20/04/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Juticalpa0-1
HT 0-0
Olancho FC
16/02/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Olancho FC1-1
HT 0-1
Juticalpa

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Espana 3210 617
2 CD Olimpia 2200 516
3 Genesis de Comayagua 3201 526
4 Estrella Roja 3111 434
5 CD Marathon 2110 214
5 Olancho FC 2110 214
7 CA Independiente Siguatepeque 3111 334
8 Motagua 2101 323
9 Lobos UPNFM 3021 352
10 CD Platense 3012 171
11 Atletico Choloma 2002 140
12 Juticalpa 2002 160

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOlancho FCJuticalpa
Lobos UPNFM 1-1 D 1-0 W
Genesis de Comayagua 1-1 D 1-0 W
Motagua 0-2 L 0-3 L
CD Platense 0-1 L 1-1 D
CD Victoria 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Juticalpa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olancho FC

WDLDLWLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 54 D
03/08 Estrella Roja
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 44 W
15/05 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-1 74 D
13/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 04 L
10/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 2-1 54 W
07/05 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-2 1-3 74 L
01/05 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 2-2 43 D
26/04 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 44 L
24/04 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 83 D
20/04 CD Victoria
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 74 W

Juticalpa

LWDLDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-2 1-3 145 L
02/08 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-3 02 L
27/04 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 W
22/04 CD Victoria
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-2 L
20/04 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-2 64 L
16/04 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 1-1 76 D
09/04 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-4 0-4 21 L
07/04 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 05 D
02/04 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 33 W
23/03 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-2 1-6 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olancho FC vs Juticalpa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olancho FC win (78%). Probabilities: Olancho FC 78%, draw 15%, Juticalpa 7%.

How many goals are expected in Olancho FC vs Juticalpa?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Olancho FC 2.41 · Juticalpa 0.57), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Olancho FC vs Juticalpa?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.