Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 16/08, 03:30

Prediction: Real Espana vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Team pages: Real Espana · CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Real Espana2.07
CA Independiente Siguatepeque0.88
1X2
64% 22% 14%
Real Espana Draw CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Real Espana 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWLDWW
CA Independiente Siguatepeque 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWWLDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Espana 1550 · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1528
Real EspanaDrawCA Independiente Siguatepeque
Our model64%22%14%
Market64%22%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real EspanaCA Independiente Siguatepeque
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 11.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.81 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.32 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.45.3 / 0.3

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Espana 2200 506
2 CD Olimpia 2200 516
3 CD Marathon 2110 214
3 Olancho FC 2110 214
5 Motagua 2101 323
6 Estrella Roja 2101 213
7 CA Independiente Siguatepeque 2101 223
7 Genesis de Comayagua 2101 223
9 Lobos UPNFM 2011 131
10 CD Platense 2011 141
11 Atletico Choloma 2002 140
12 Juticalpa 2002 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Espana

DWWWLWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 2-0 34 W
01/08 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 3-0 50 W
19/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 1-1 82 D
13/05 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 2-3 44 L
10/05 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 3-1 52 W
03/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-1 29 L
01/05 CD Victoria
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 2-1 74 W
26/04 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-2 3-2 23 W
23/04 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 2-0 32 W
13/04 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 1-1 D

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

DWWLWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-1 2-1 27 W
04/08 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-1 13 L
12/04 CD Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 1-1 109 D
05/04 CD Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-2 L
28/03 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 W
25/03 Real Tegus
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
4-0 W
22/03 CD Piratas
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 1-2 53 L
14/03 Marcala JR CF
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
6-1 W
07/03 Affi Academia
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
2-1 W
28/02 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Espana vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Espana win (64%). Probabilities: Real Espana 64%, draw 22%, CA Independiente Siguatepeque 14%.

How many goals are expected in Real Espana vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Real Espana 2.07 · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 0.88), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Espana vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.