Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 23/08, 03:30

Prediction: Atletico Choloma vs CD Platense

Team pages: Atletico Choloma · CD Platense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Atletico Choloma1.5

CD Platense1.38

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Atletico Choloma Draw CD Platense

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Choloma 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLLL

CD Platense 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Atletico Choloma 2–1–3 CD Platense (6 last)

Atletico Choloma1-0CD Platense
CD Platense1-1Atletico Choloma
Atletico Choloma1-4CD Platense
CD Platense3-0Atletico Choloma
CD Platense0-1Atletico Choloma
Atletico Choloma0-2CD Platense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Choloma 1457 · CD Platense 1474

	Atletico Choloma	Draw	CD Platense
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Platense: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Choloma	CD Platense
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 19:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.15 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.98 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:59 +28’	2.80	3.30	2.15
05:41 +14’	2.25▼	3.30	2.63▲
04:23 +10’	2.25	3.50▲	2.55▼
11:45 +2’	2.25	3.30▼	2.63▲
19:03 +14’	2.20▼	3.50▲	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:48 +28’	2.20	2.98	2.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Choloma 2–1–3 CD Platense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Honduras Liga Nacional	Atletico Choloma	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Platense
09/02/26 Honduras Liga Nacional	CD Platense	1-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Choloma
22/11/25 Honduras Liga Nacional	Atletico Choloma	1-4 HT 1-2	CD Platense
01/09/25 Honduras Liga Nacional	CD Platense	3-0 HT 1-0	Atletico Choloma
23/03/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	CD Platense	0-1	Atletico Choloma
16/02/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso	Atletico Choloma	0-2	CD Platense

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	Real Espana	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
3	CD Marathon	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
3	Olancho FC	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
5	Genesis de Comayagua	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
6	Motagua	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
7	Estrella Roja	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
8	CA Independiente Siguatepeque	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Lobos UPNFM	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
10	CD Platense	3	0	1	2	1	7	1
11	Atletico Choloma	3	0	0	3	1	5	0
12	Juticalpa	3	0	0	3	1	7	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Choloma	CD Platense
CD Marathon	0-1 L	1-1 D
Genesis de Comayagua	0-2 L	0-3 L
CD Olimpia	1-3 L	0-4 L
Real Espana	3-2 W	0-3 L
Olancho FC	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Choloma (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Choloma

WLWWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	12	8	L
10/08	CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional	1-2	1-2	2	7	L
01/08	Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
01/05	CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
27/04	Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
19/04	CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
14/04	CD Victoria Honduras Liga Nacional	3-0	5-2	4	4	W
10/04	Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional	0-1	3-2	0	10	W
05/04	Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
02/04	CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	5	8	W

CD Platense

WLDWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
08/08	CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
01/05	CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional	0-1	0-4	5	2	L
26/04	Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
23/04	Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
19/04	Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional	1-1	4-1	8	3	W
16/04	Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
08/04	Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
05/04	CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional	1-1	3-1	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Choloma vs CD Platense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Choloma win (39%). Probabilities: Atletico Choloma 39%, draw 27%, CD Platense 34%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Choloma vs CD Platense?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Atletico Choloma 1.5 · CD Platense 1.38), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Choloma vs CD Platense?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.