Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 22/08, 23:00

Prediction: CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Genesis de Comayagua

Team pages: CA Independiente Siguatepeque · Genesis de Comayagua

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
CA Independiente Siguatepeque1.25
Genesis de Comayagua1.22
1X2
36% 29% 35%
CA Independiente Siguatepeque Draw Genesis de Comayagua
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente Siguatepeque 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWWLDLWD
Genesis de Comayagua 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWDLWLW
Head-to-head
CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1–1–0 Genesis de Comayagua (2 last)
  • CA Independiente Siguatepeque0-0Genesis de Comayagua
  • Genesis de Comayagua0-2CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1528 · Genesis de Comayagua 1541
CA Independiente SiguatepequeDrawGenesis de Comayagua
Our model36%30%34%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA Independiente SiguatepequeGenesis de Comayagua
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 11.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.61 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.62 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.43.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 110 Genesis de Comayagua

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/03/25
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
CA Independiente Siguatepeque0-0
HT 0-0
Genesis de Comayagua
15/02/25
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
Genesis de Comayagua0-2CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Olimpia 3300 829
2 Real Espana 3210 617
3 CD Marathon 3210 317
3 Olancho FC 3210 317
5 Genesis de Comayagua 3201 526
6 Motagua 4202 866
7 Estrella Roja 3111 434
8 CA Independiente Siguatepeque 3111 334
9 Lobos UPNFM 4022 492
10 CD Platense 3012 171
11 Atletico Choloma 3003 150
12 Juticalpa 3003 170

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA Independiente SiguatepequeGenesis de Comayagua
Real Espana 1-1 D 0-2 L
Atletico Choloma 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

WWLWWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 56 D
10/08 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-1 2-1 27 W
04/08 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-1 13 L
12/04 CD Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 1-1 109 D
05/04 CD Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-2 L
28/03 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 W
25/03 Real Tegus
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
4-0 W
22/03 CD Piratas
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 1-2 53 L
14/03 Marcala JR CF
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
6-1 W
07/03 Affi Academia
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
2-1 W

Genesis de Comayagua

WWDDWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 3-0 84 W
09/08 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 14 L
01/08 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 2-0 22 W
19/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-2 55 L
15/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-1 34 D
07/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-1 3-1 14 W
04/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 1-1 47 D
01/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 2-2 43 D
27/04 CD Victoria
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 2-0 10 W
24/04 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Genesis de Comayagua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente Siguatepeque win (36%). Probabilities: CA Independiente Siguatepeque 36%, draw 29%, Genesis de Comayagua 35%.

How many goals are expected in CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Genesis de Comayagua?

The model expects 2.46 goals (CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1.25 · Genesis de Comayagua 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Genesis de Comayagua?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.