Football · Scotland League Challenge Cup · 11/08, 20:45

Prediction: Stirling vs Cove Rangers

Team pages: Stirling · Cove Rangers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Stirling1.4

Cove Rangers1.67

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Stirling Draw Cove Rangers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stirling 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLLWLLWL

Cove Rangers 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLLDL

Head-to-head

Stirling 1–2–3 Cove Rangers (6 last)

Cove Rangers4-2Stirling
Stirling2-2Cove Rangers
Stirling0-2Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers3-1Stirling
Stirling2-2Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers2-3Stirling

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stirling 1450 · Cove Rangers 1445

	Stirling	Draw	Cove Rangers
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cove Rangers: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stirling	Cove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	0.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.7	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +1’	2.90	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 1–2–3 Cove Rangers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/03/24 Scotland League One	Cove Rangers	4-2 HT 2-1	Stirling
03/02/24 Scotland League One	Stirling	2-2 HT 1-0	Cove Rangers
25/11/23 Scotland FA Cup	Stirling	0-2 HT 0-1	Cove Rangers
18/11/23 Scotland League One	Cove Rangers	3-1 HT 1-1	Stirling
30/09/23 Scotland League One	Stirling	2-2 HT 1-0	Cove Rangers
10/07/21 Scotland League Cup	Cove Rangers	2-3 HT 0-1	Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Challenge Cup

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aberdeen B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Airdrieonians	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alloa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Annan Athletic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Banks O'Dee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Berwick Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celtic B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clachnacuddin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clyde	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clydebank FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cove Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cowdenbeath	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cumbernauld Colts	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dumbarton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dundee B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dundee Utd B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	East Fife	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	East Kilbride	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Edinburgh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elgin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Forfar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Formartine United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fraserburgh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gala Fairydean	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rangers B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hamilton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hearts B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hibernian B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kelty Hearts	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kilmarnock B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montrose	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Motherwell B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Peterhead	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Queen of South	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ross County	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Mirren B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stirling	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stranraer	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Stirling

DDDLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-2	2-3	3	9	L
01/08	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
25/07	Arbroath Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
18/07	Montrose Scotland League Cup	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
14/07	Spartans Scotland League Cup	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
11/07	Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
04/07	Tranent UK Friendlies	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
02/05	Spartans Scotland League Two	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
25/04	Stranraer Scotland League Two	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
18/04	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-2	2-2	4	2	D

Cove Rangers

WDLLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
01/08	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
25/07	Dumbarton Scotland League Cup	0-1	0-2	7	1	L
21/07	Dunfermline Scotland League Cup	0-3	0-5	1	2	L
18/07	St Mirren Scotland League Cup	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
14/07	East Kilbride Scotland League Cup	0-0	3-2	6	2	W
11/07	St Johnstone UK Friendlies	1-3	2-4	2	0	L
07/07	Inverness CT UK Friendlies	1-1	1-4	3	0	L
04/07	Huntly Club Friendly List	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
02/07	Turriff United UK Friendlies	0-0	1-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cove Rangers win (43%). Probabilities: Stirling 31%, draw 26%, Cove Rangers 43%.

How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Stirling 1.4 · Cove Rangers 1.67), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stirling vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.