Football · Scotland League Challenge Cup · 11/08, 20:45

Prediction: East Fife vs Spartans

Team pages: East Fife · Spartans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

East Fife2.15

Spartans1.3

1X2

56% 22% 22%

East Fife Draw Spartans

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

East Fife 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WLDDDWWDDW

Spartans 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLLWWD

Head-to-head

East Fife 5–1 Spartans (6 last)

East Fife4-2Spartans
Spartans0-1East Fife
East Fife5-1Spartans
Spartans0-1East Fife
East Fife1-2Spartans
Spartans1-3East Fife

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Fife 1530 · Spartans 1496

	East Fife	Draw	Spartans
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours East Fife: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	East Fife	Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.8	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +2’	1.60	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 5–0–1 Spartans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/25 Scotland League Two	East Fife	4-2 HT 0-2	Spartans
08/02/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	0-1 HT 0-0	East Fife
21/12/24 Scotland League Two	East Fife	5-1 HT 2-0	Spartans
28/09/24 Scotland League Two	Spartans	0-1 HT 0-0	East Fife
04/05/24 Scotland League Two	East Fife	1-2 HT 0-0	Spartans
02/03/24 Scotland League Two	Spartans	1-3 HT 1-1	East Fife

Standings · Scotland League Challenge Cup

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aberdeen B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Airdrieonians	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alloa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Annan Athletic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Banks O'Dee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Berwick Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celtic B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clachnacuddin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clyde	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clydebank FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cove Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cowdenbeath	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cumbernauld Colts	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dumbarton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dundee B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dundee Utd B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	East Fife	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	East Kilbride	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Edinburgh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elgin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Forfar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Formartine United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fraserburgh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gala Fairydean	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rangers B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hamilton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hearts B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hibernian B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kelty Hearts	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kilmarnock B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montrose	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Motherwell B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Peterhead	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Queen of South	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ross County	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Mirren B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stirling	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stranraer	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

East Fife

WLDDDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
01/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	St Johnstone Scotland League Cup	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
21/07	Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
14/07	Morton Scotland League Cup	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
11/07	Inverness CT Scotland League Cup	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
02/05	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
25/04	Inverness CT Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/04	Alloa Scotland League One	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
11/04	Peterhead Scotland League One	1-0	2-1	4	5	W

Spartans

DDLDLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-1	2-2	2	8	D
01/08	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	0-1	4-2	4	7	W
25/07	Montrose Scotland League Cup	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
21/07	Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
14/07	Stirling Scotland League Cup	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
11/07	Arbroath Scotland League Cup	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
09/05	Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
05/05	Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
02/05	Stirling Scotland League Two	0-0	2-2	9	2	D
25/04	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Fife win (56%). Probabilities: East Fife 56%, draw 22%, Spartans 22%.

How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Spartans?

The model expects 3.45 goals (East Fife 2.15 · Spartans 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in East Fife vs Spartans?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.