Football · Scotland League Challenge Cup · 12/08, 20:45
Prediction: Hamilton vs Celtic B
Team pages: Hamilton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4Total
Hamilton2.69
Celtic B1.31
1X2
Hamilton
Draw
Celtic B
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hamilton
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Celtic B
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hamilton 1587 · Celtic B 1502
| Hamilton | Draw | Celtic B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1587 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hamilton | Celtic B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Standings · Scotland League Challenge Cup
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Annan Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banks O'Dee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Berwick Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celtic B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clachnacuddin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clyde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cumbernauld Colts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Kilbride | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Edinburgh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Elgin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forfar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Formartine United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fraserburgh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gala Fairydean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rangers B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hibernian B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilmarnock B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queen of South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Mirren B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stirling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stranraer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Celtic B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04 | Cowdenbeath Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland Lowland League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Tranent Scotland Lowland League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/03 | Civil Service Strollers Scotland Lowland League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Bo'ness United FC Scotland Lowland League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 07/02 | Cumbernauld Colts Scotland Lowland League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 23/01 | Berwick Rangers Scotland Lowland League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/12 | Gretna 2008 Scotland Lowland League |
2-1 | 5-4 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/12 | Ross County Scotland League Challenge Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/11 | Cowdenbeath Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamilton vs Celtic B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hamilton win (66%). Probabilities: Hamilton 66%, draw 18%, Celtic B 16%.
How many goals are expected in Hamilton vs Celtic B?
The model expects 4 goals (Hamilton 2.69 · Celtic B 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hamilton vs Celtic B?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.