Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: Werder Bremen (W) vs Freiburg (W)
Team pages: Werder Bremen (W) · Freiburg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Werder Bremen (W)1.86
Freiburg (W)1.13
1X2
Werder Bremen (W)
Draw
Freiburg (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Werder Bremen (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Freiburg (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Werder Bremen (W)
0–1–5
Freiburg (W)
(6 last)
- Freiburg (W)3-0Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)1-1Freiburg (W)
- Freiburg (W)3-2Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)0-3Freiburg (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)0-3Freiburg (W)
- Freiburg (W)2-1Werder Bremen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Werder Bremen (W) 1537 · Freiburg (W) 1533
| Werder Bremen (W) | Draw | Freiburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Freiburg (W): 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Werder Bremen (W) | Freiburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Werder Bremen (W) 0–1–5 Freiburg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Freiburg (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 07/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Freiburg (W) |
| 11/05/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Freiburg (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 08/12/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Freiburg (W) |
| 17/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Freiburg (W) |
| 08/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | Freiburg (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Cologne (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Freiburg (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 8 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV (W) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 13 | Nurnberg (W) | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Werder Bremen (W) | Freiburg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Mainz (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Carl Zeiss Jena (W) | 7-0 W | 5-1 W |
| FC Cologne (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Bayern Munich (W) | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Werder Bremen (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Werder Bremen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Freiburg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Werder Bremen (W) vs Freiburg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Werder Bremen (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Werder Bremen (W) 54%, draw 23%, Freiburg (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Werder Bremen (W) vs Freiburg (W)?
The model expects 3 goals (Werder Bremen (W) 1.86 · Freiburg (W) 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen (W) vs Freiburg (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.