Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Wolfsburg (W) vs FC Cologne (W)

Team pages: Wolfsburg (W) · FC Cologne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Wolfsburg (W)2.67

FC Cologne (W)1.08

1X2

71% 17% 13%

Wolfsburg (W) Draw FC Cologne (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Wolfsburg (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Cologne (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Wolfsburg (W) 5–1–0 FC Cologne (W) (6 last)

Wolfsburg (W)2-1FC Cologne (W)
FC Cologne (W)1-2Wolfsburg (W)
FC Cologne (W)0-0Wolfsburg (W)
Wolfsburg (W)5-1FC Cologne (W)
Wolfsburg (W)5-1FC Cologne (W)
FC Cologne (W)1-4Wolfsburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsburg (W) 1642 · FC Cologne (W) 1559

	Wolfsburg (W)	Draw	FC Cologne (W)
Our model	70%	17%	12%
Market	71%	16%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsburg (W) (rating 1642 vs 1559).
H2H favours Wolfsburg (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wolfsburg (W)	FC Cologne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1.3	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.2	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +12’	1.25	5.50	7.50
22:31 +5’	1.27▲	5.50	7.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsburg (W) 5–1–0 FC Cologne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Wolfsburg (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Cologne (W)
21/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	FC Cologne (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Wolfsburg (W)
07/02/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	FC Cologne (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Wolfsburg (W)
22/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Wolfsburg (W)	5-1 HT 2-1	FC Cologne (W)
03/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Wolfsburg (W)	5-1 HT 4-0	FC Cologne (W)
09/12/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	FC Cologne (W)	1-4 HT 1-2	Wolfsburg (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich (W)	7	7	0	0	24	6	21
2	Wolfsburg (W)	7	6	0	1	23	8	18
3	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	7	4	2	1	12	7	14
4	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	7	4	1	2	13	10	13
5	FC Cologne (W)	7	4	0	3	13	9	12
6	RB Leipzig (W)	7	3	1	3	13	9	10
7	Werder Bremen (W)	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	Freiburg (W)	7	3	1	3	8	10	10
9	Union Berlin (W)	7	3	0	4	10	12	9
10	VfB Stuttgart (W)	7	2	2	3	8	17	8
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	6	2	0	4	8	11	6
12	Hamburger SV (W)	7	1	2	4	10	11	5
13	Nurnberg (W)	7	0	2	5	10	23	2
14	Mainz (W)	7	0	0	7	3	24	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wolfsburg (W)	FC Cologne (W)
Mainz (W)	5-0 W	4-0 W
Hamburger SV (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Werder Bremen (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
Freiburg (W)	4-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Cologne (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolfsburg (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	5-0	3	3	W
04/10	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	17	3	W
18/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
13/09	VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
06/09	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
22/08	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	8-2	–	–	W
17/05	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	3-1	9	2	W
09/05	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-1	4-2	4	2	W
02/05	RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	3-2	4	2	W

FC Cologne (W)

WWWLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	3-1	7	7	W
03/10	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
19/09	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-3	2-5	2	3	L
12/09	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
05/09	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
28/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
22/08	Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/05	Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
02/05	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	3-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsburg (W) vs FC Cologne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolfsburg (W) win (71%). Probabilities: Wolfsburg (W) 71%, draw 17%, FC Cologne (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsburg (W) vs FC Cologne (W)?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Wolfsburg (W) 2.67 · FC Cologne (W) 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsburg (W) vs FC Cologne (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.