Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 23/10, 18:30
Prediction: RB Leipzig (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)
Team pages: RB Leipzig (W) · Bayern Munich (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
RB Leipzig (W)0.78
Bayern Munich (W)2.62
1X2
RB Leipzig (W)
Draw
Bayern Munich (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
RB Leipzig (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Bayern Munich (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RB Leipzig (W)
0–6
Bayern Munich (W)
(6 last)
- Bayern Munich (W)3-0RB Leipzig (W)
- RB Leipzig (W)0-3Bayern Munich (W)
- RB Leipzig (W)0-1Bayern Munich (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)6-2RB Leipzig (W)
- Bayern Munich (W)5-0RB Leipzig (W)
- RB Leipzig (W)0-3Bayern Munich (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RB Leipzig (W) 1494 · Bayern Munich (W) 1659
| RB Leipzig (W) | Draw | Bayern Munich (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 16% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayern Munich (W) (rating 1494 vs 1659).
- H2H favours Bayern Munich (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RB Leipzig (W) | Bayern Munich (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 2.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 2 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RB Leipzig (W) 0–0–6 Bayern Munich (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 14/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 02/02/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bayern Munich (W) |
| 13/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 6-2 HT 2-1 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 16/03/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayern Munich (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | RB Leipzig (W) |
| 22/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | RB Leipzig (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Bayern Munich (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Cologne (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Freiburg (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 8 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV (W) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 13 | Nurnberg (W) | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RB Leipzig (W) | Bayern Munich (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Mainz (W) | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Union Berlin (W) | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayern Munich (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RB Leipzig (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Bayern Munich (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/10 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RB Leipzig (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bayern Munich (W) win (76%). Probabilities: RB Leipzig (W) 8%, draw 16%, Bayern Munich (W) 76%.
How many goals are expected in RB Leipzig (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)?
The model expects 3.4 goals (RB Leipzig (W) 0.78 · Bayern Munich (W) 2.62), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig (W) vs Bayern Munich (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.