Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Werder Bremen (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Team pages: Werder Bremen (W) · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Werder Bremen (W)1.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)1.36
1X2
Werder Bremen (W)
Draw
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Werder Bremen (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Werder Bremen (W)
2–2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
(6 last)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)0-0Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)2-1TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)1-0TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)1-0Werder Bremen (W)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)1-1Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)1-3TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Werder Bremen (W) 1547 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 1531
| Werder Bremen (W) | Draw | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Werder Bremen (W) | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Werder Bremen (W) 2–2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 21/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
| 10/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
| 06/10/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 10/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 30/09/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Cologne (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Union Berlin (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Freiburg (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 8 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 6 |
| 13 | Nurnberg (W) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Werder Bremen (W) | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| VfB Stuttgart (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Mainz (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Cologne (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Werder Bremen (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-3 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/10 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Werder Bremen (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Werder Bremen (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Werder Bremen (W) 40%, draw 26%, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 34%.
How many goals are expected in Werder Bremen (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Werder Bremen (W) 1.5 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.