Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen (W) · Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Bayer Leverkusen (W)1.3

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)1.78

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Bayer Leverkusen (W) Draw Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bayer Leverkusen (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWLWW

Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWL

Head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1–2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (6 last)

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)1-0Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Bayer Leverkusen (W)2-1Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)4-0Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt (W)3-2Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Bayer Leverkusen (W)2-2Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Bayer Leverkusen (W)1-1Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1579 · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 1596

	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Our model	27%	25%	48%
Market	27%	25%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.8 / 7.2	3.3 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.33
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.73 ★
2	2.40 → 1.85▼	Pinn 1.91

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:06 +3’	2.40	3.50	2.40
10:56 +16’	3.25▲	3.60▲	1.85▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:56 +13’	3.27	3.66	1.94
10:13 +58’	3.33▲	3.73▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1–2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Bayer Leverkusen (W)
25/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
22/03/25 Women’s Friendly	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Bayer Leverkusen (W)
31/01/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Bayer Leverkusen (W)
15/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
06/07/24 Women’s Friendly	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich (W)	6	6	0	0	19	6	18
2	Wolfsburg (W)	6	5	0	1	18	8	15
3	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	6	4	0	2	12	9	12
5	Werder Bremen (W)	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
6	Freiburg (W)	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
7	FC Cologne (W)	6	3	0	3	10	8	9
8	VfB Stuttgart (W)	6	2	2	2	8	12	8
9	RB Leipzig (W)	6	2	1	3	10	9	7
10	Union Berlin (W)	6	2	0	4	8	11	6
10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	6	2	0	4	8	11	6
12	Hamburger SV (W)	6	1	2	3	9	8	5
13	Nurnberg (W)	6	0	2	4	9	21	2
14	Mainz (W)	6	0	0	6	3	19	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bayer Leverkusen (W)	Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Bayern Munich (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)	2-1 W	4-2 W
Wolfsburg (W)	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eintracht Frankfurt (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bayer Leverkusen (W)

WWWLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	3-2	3	8	W
20/09	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	2-1	9	6	W
14/09	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	2-3	1	4	L
04/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
30/08	Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-2	7	1	L
23/08	RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-3	18	3	L
11/05	RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
03/05	SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	4-0	9	1	W
26/04	Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	3-0	4-1	5	4	W

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

WWLWWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
18/09	Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-2	3-2	13	4	W
13/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	4-2	12	5	W
07/09	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
30/08	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
22/08	FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-2	4-2	11	3	W
09/05	Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
04/05	Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-1	4-1	8	2	W
26/04	Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	2-0	3-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eintracht Frankfurt (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen (W) 27%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1.3 · Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 1.78), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.