Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bissen vs US Hostert

Team pages: Bissen · US Hostert

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Bissen2.34

US Hostert1.46

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Bissen Draw US Hostert

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Bissen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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US Hostert 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bissen 2–2 US Hostert (4 last)

US Hostert0-3Bissen
Bissen7-1US Hostert
Bissen1-2US Hostert
US Hostert4-1Bissen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bissen (rating 1559 vs 1481).
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bissen	US Hostert
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	0 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	5.3 / 1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.97

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 00:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.46 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.50
X	4.49 → 4.21▼	Pinn 4.21
2	5.37 → 5.27▼	Pinn 5.27

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:23 +56’	1.46	4.49	5.37
19:07 +64’	1.48▲	4.35▼	5.31▼
22:11 +12’	1.49▲	4.29▼	5.29▼
23:05 +5’	1.50▲	4.28▼	5.29
23:14 +57’	1.50▲	4.21▼	5.27▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bissen 2–0–2 US Hostert

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	US Hostert	0-3 HT 0-3	Bissen
26/10/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Bissen	7-1 HT 4-0	US Hostert
21/05/17 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Bissen	1-2	US Hostert
21/08/16 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	US Hostert	4-1	Bissen

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	9	9	0	0	19	2	27
2	FC 03 Differdange	9	8	0	1	25	5	24
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	9	7	0	2	18	12	21
4	Progres Niedercorn	9	6	1	2	15	5	19
5	Union Luxembourg	9	5	3	1	23	10	18
6	UN Kaerjeng	9	6	0	3	27	16	18
7	Bissen	9	5	1	3	20	13	16
8	Residence Walferdange	9	5	0	4	16	16	15
9	US Hostert	9	3	2	4	14	13	11
10	F91 Dudelange	9	3	1	5	11	16	10
11	Victoria Rosport	9	2	2	5	14	20	8
12	Jeunesse Esch	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
13	Rumelange	9	2	0	7	9	25	6
14	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	9	1	2	6	7	18	5
15	Wiltz	9	1	1	7	14	24	4
16	Swift Hesperange	9	0	0	9	2	33	-12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bissen	US Hostert
Residence Walferdange	2-1 W	2-3 L
Progres Niedercorn	0-4 L	0-2 L
Jeunesse Esch	2-0 W	1-1 D
F91 Dudelange	2-0 W	0-0 D
FC 03 Differdange	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bissen (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bissen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-2	3	10	D
16/09	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	4-2	–	–	W
13/09	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	4-0	6-0	6	2	W
06/09	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	7	7	L
30/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	3	11	L
23/08	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
09/08	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
04/08	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

US Hostert

WLLWWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
16/09	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
05/09	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	2-0	1	8	W
30/08	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
23/08	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
09/08	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
02/08	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-1	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bissen vs US Hostert?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bissen win (57%). Probabilities: Bissen 57%, draw 21%, US Hostert 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bissen vs US Hostert?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Bissen 2.34 · US Hostert 1.46), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bissen vs US Hostert?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.